Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 10.276497 11.733038 13.329252 15.209480 17.365254 19.761559 22.629933
2026-01-04 8.423936 10.359139 12.646247 15.553067 19.156085 23.484453 29.092794
2026-01-11 7.425305 9.625006 12.368061 16.048948 20.873841 27.003444 35.414755
2026-01-18 6.378603 8.629920 11.562714 15.676781 21.322397 28.832095 39.637088
2026-01-25 5.611666 7.879015 10.946700 15.419304 21.807165 30.652629 43.919450
2026-02-01 4.998746 7.254299 10.410956 15.175046 22.227589 32.352869 48.119149
2026-02-08 4.488825 6.712944 9.922828 14.922324 22.569895 33.918982 52.209732
2026-02-15 4.057972 6.238951 9.477151 14.669841 22.857744 35.387789 56.239051
2026-02-22 3.898850 6.156039 9.600177 15.280531 24.504051 39.045094 64.006863
2026-03-01 3.672356 5.943571 9.498206 15.516302 25.559412 41.838938 70.610838
2026-03-08 3.408441 5.645339 9.230353 15.450575 26.101065 43.822201 76.012895
2026-03-15 3.164372 5.357093 8.951314 15.334550 26.534602 45.640109 81.266705
2026-03-22 3.059921 5.297858 9.051923 15.880690 28.167819 49.672948 90.874404
2026-03-29 2.932503 5.187528 9.054907 16.253427 29.522975 53.328855 100.144757
2026-04-05 2.839147 5.127989 9.138465 16.771846 31.177827 57.652131 111.058771
2026-04-12 2.616210 4.815950 8.746576 16.382363 31.106781 58.770591 115.898933
2026-04-19 2.431645 4.559398 8.434358 16.112897 31.233431 60.259278 121.585705
2026-04-26 2.265703 4.324465 8.143276 15.857273 31.359280 61.744997 127.385872
2026-05-03 2.113159 4.103165 7.860537 15.592798 31.440303 63.138567 133.108260
2026-05-10 1.973594 3.896381 7.589771 15.328580 31.495425 64.475139 138.818726
2026-05-17 1.948446 3.914196 7.758663 15.967666 33.464117 69.902032 153.877441
2026-05-24 1.880795 3.840747 7.739511 16.214411 34.623516 73.720555 165.734202
2026-05-31 1.784919 3.702027 7.577452 16.145624 35.095950 76.099687 174.549240